Syria
Islamic State’s uprising is low-key in Iraq and Syria
Islamic State’s insurgency in Iraq and Syria will remain low-level after the killing of its leader
IraqElectricity trade in the Middle East will grow slowly
Cross-border electricity trade in the Middle East and North Africa is expanding slowly
Middle EastRelations between Iraqi and Syrian Kurds worsen
Iraqi Kurdistan temporarily closed its border with Syria out of irritation with one of the Kurdish factions there
SyriaCommercial takeovers will strengthen Syria’s Assad
Old and new business elites have been battling over a shrinking asset base
SyriaDamascus can manage fragmented military forces
Between Tehran-backed militias and Moscow-funded units, the security sector is increasingly diverse
SyriaGrowing refugee debate ups pressure on Erdogan
Turkey’s large population of ‘temporary’ refugees, mainly Syrians, has become a potential vote-loser for the government
TurkeyWater scarcity will boost Turkey-Syria-Iraq tensions
Reduced water levels in the Tigris and Euphrates rivers have a devastating regional impact
IraqStruggling Mideast states will call on Arab identity
Although the dream of Arab unity has been dead for decades, it still influences regional politics
Middle East
