Russia/CIS
COP29 may drive forward climate finance
COP29 has disappointed and angered many campaigners, but has broken a deadlock in planning for financing climate action
InternationalRussian reliance on China for dual-use goods will rise
China emerged as a key supplier of dual-use goods to Russia following the imposition of Western sanctions in 2022
RussiaProspects for Ukraine in 2025
The war and the potential of reduced external support will continue to shape Ukraine’s prospects in 2025
UkraineEuropean gas will be historically expensive into 2025
Gas prices have risen as trans-Siberian pipeline gas transit is set to end soon, and Gazprom cut supply to Austria’s OMV
InternationalRelations between Georgia and Abkhazia will improve
Moscow has indicated that it could facilitate closer ties between Tbilisi and the two breakaway regions
GeorgiaProspects for cybersecurity in 2025
The cybersecurity landscape in 2025 will see the emergence of new threats in the cryptocurrency and AI sectors
InternationalModernisation of Russian Pacific Fleet will be slow
The Pacific Fleet’s combat capabilities have diminished due to the slow pace of naval modernisation
RussiaFood sector challenges will outpace agritech adoption
Supply risks, population growth and food production’s environmental unfriendliness create an opportunity for agritech
International