Russia/CIS
North Korean troops for Russia will raise challenges
Seoul has threatened countermeasures over North Korea’s alleged troop deployment to Russia
North KoreaSuccession plans in Tajikistan may face rising risks
President Emomali Rahmon’s eldest son Rustam is well-placed to succeed his father as leader in the future
TajikistanRussian inflation is unlikely to be tamed
Soaring demand and widespread supply constraints have caused inflation to remain well above the target rate of 4%
RussiaAsia’s coal use is likely to peak by 2030
China’s coal use, while rising, is close to peak consumption, although India and ASEAN’s use will increase for longer
InternationalRussia’s SWIFT alternative faces uncertain future
Russia’s SPFS domestic payments system is facing challenges from sanctioning powers
RussiaGenAI adoption alone will not markedly lift global GDP
Research confirms that GenAI is being adopted faster than the PC and internet were, and broadly across occupations
InternationalBelarusian opposition in exile will likely fragment
The Belarusian opposition in exile is evolving, with new factions emerging that are rising in importance
BelarusRussia’s coal industry will continue to struggle
Western sanctions have pushed Russia’s coal industry into crisis
Russia
