Russia/CIS
Ukraine peace envoy appointment hints at Trump plan
Donald Trump nominated retired General Keith Kellogg as a special envoy to lead peace negotiations in Ukraine
United StatesAll US military aid to Ukraine unlikely to be released
The Biden administration will be unable to supply all the military aid promised in the Ukraine support bill
United StatesRussia will seek to retain influence in Kazakhstan
Russian President Vladimir Putin is in Kazakhstan for a Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO) summit
KazakhstanProductivity and wider reforms can raise wage equality
Wage inequality has fallen in two-thirds of countries since 2000 but remains high, both within and between nations
InternationalRussian reliance on China for dual-use goods will rise
China emerged as a key supplier of dual-use goods to Russia following the imposition of Western sanctions in 2022
RussiaRussian currency weakness is likely to persist
The ruble fell to its weakest level in over two years following the imposition of fresh US sanctions
RussiaUkraine’s allies will target Russia’s ‘shadow fleet’
The UK government announced sanctions on 30 Russian ships linked to Moscow's ‘shadow fleet’ of oil tankers
RussiaProspects for Ukraine in 2025
The war and the potential of reduced external support will continue to shape Ukraine’s prospects in 2025
Ukraine