Cuba's growth in 2015 will be driven by expectations

US policy turn creates high expectations and new challenges for Cuba

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Further extension of Iran nuclear talks is likely

Although talks have been extended, space for compromise is narrowing

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Russian transfer of S-400 missile to China will significantly increase Beijing's military capabilities

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Latin America will grow relations with the United States in 2015, despite foreign policy crises elsewhere in the world

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Slowdown in euro-area and crisis in Ukraine provide headwinds but Poland's economy is proving remarkably resilient

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Recession is near certain in 2015, but it is unlikely to exceed the contraction of 2008-09

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Washington's intervention is likely to give temporary respite to a government facing economic and political crisis

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The interim nuclear deal has yielded some benefits for Israel's security, but the military option remains on the table

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Speech highlights mistrust of West and that Crimea's status is non-negotiable

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Parliamentary election will lead to a pro-EU coalition but also problems and potential presidential impasse in 2016

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