Baghdad will head off Basra autonomy bid

Basra province is the last remaining strategic asset under central state control

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Moscow's influence will lag West's in Balkans

Russia may criticise the West's Balkan policy, but its own tends to be event-driven, inconsistent and opportunistic

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Resumption of war in Donbas, Ukraine's financial woes and Russia's problematic ties with West will dominate outlook

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OPEC is maintaining its policy of non-intervention, while producers elsewhere are not scaling back significantly

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Climate change mitigation will be one of the main areas of White House activity in the next 18 months

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Although US LNG exports are testing the boundaries of profitability, low capital costs mean they can provide swing role

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With regional economies slowing, SWFs will become increasingly vital fiscal stop gaps

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Supply gluts continue to hold down natural gas prices, while demand indicators lag across regions

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A further fall in FDI is likely this year, after a drop of over 16% in 2014, as growth and commodity prices stay weak

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While small by regional standards, Yemen's oil and gas resources are highly significant for its economy

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