Prospects for the global economy in 2016

Global trade and growth will be subdued as commodity sell-off continues to hit emerging economies

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Latin American local bond markets prove resilient

Key local debt markets will maintain greater attractiveness than equity and currency markets

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Polish assets, in particular the zloty and equity markets, are likely to come under strain if PiS wins the election

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Against a backdrop of low copper prices and rising debt, the 2016 budget will be a baptism of fire for Valdes

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Capital sources that financed the commodity boom are still suffering across the board

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EM dollar-denominated corporate debt is suffering from weakening EM economic fundamentals and the dollar's strength

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US currency gains ground regardless of nascent challenge from renminbi

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Markets will be more anxious about political and policy risk in Turkey than other risks elsewhere in Emerging Europe

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Uncertainty about timing and pace of US rates rises weighs on central bank policy in developed and emerging markets

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The content of the budget, along with Carstens's reappointment, suggests continuity in 2016

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