NATO guarantees to Russia on Ukraine will not happen

NATO will not offer membership to Ukraine; nor will it offer Russia a 100% guarantee about Ukraine's non-membership

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Turkish state will tighten control of law and order

The brunt of proposed law-and-order changes will probably bear down on opposition groups in metropolitan western Turkey

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Moldova will move towards EU but economy will be reliant on agriculture and remittances and will be vulnerable to Russia

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EU/NATO integration is best hope for progress in Bosnia

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'Brexit' would not necessarily allow the UK government to restrict EU immigration

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Chinese involvement in Central Asia will increase in the next years and challenge both the West and Russia

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The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank will provide development funding, but private investment is still required

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A Philippines-Vietnam strategic partnership would aid ASEAN diplomatic and economic connectivity

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Environmentalist-investor conflict is hindering Lower Mekong dam construction projects

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Brazil may come under rising pressure to shift to bilateral and regional trade accords

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