Belarus leader looks to survive and avoid war

Belarus has assisted Russia's invasion of Ukraine but avoided actual combat; it is under pressure to join the war

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Russia-Iran arms sales rebalance lopsided relations

Tehran seems happy to let its drones kill Ukrainians, despite EU criticism and open opposition to the policy at home

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The Palestinian political scene has become more tense in the context of spiralling violence

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China's political support is for Russia generally, not its war, and there are limits to economic assistance

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Putin's next decisions in the war, and their success or failure, will colour his bid for re-election.

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Russian aircraft and missiles are an important part of the war but are perceived as less successful than in Syria

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Europe is resilient in the face of Russia's gas leverage but supply issues hang over longer-term energy security

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Polish claim for substantial compensation for the Nazi occupation is unlikely to succeed but there are political gains

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'Loyal opposition' parties survive by mixing occasional criticism with basic loyalty, but now only the latter counts

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Ukraine's ability to mount offensives on two fronts show how far it has come from apparent near-defeat

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