Prospects for agriculture in the fourth quarter

Although agricultural output and prices are relatively stable, coming months threaten currency- and weather-linked risks

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Growth pessimism is gaining ground in Latin America

Unlike recent downturns, the slump seems likely to carry over into 2016 as commodity and investment woes bite

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The rise in domestic ethanol prices may be short-lived, though bioelectricity generation could rise

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Political stability and high commodity prices have boosted social spending, but poverty programmes could face pressures

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Chinese banks could boost regional services sectors, perhaps helping to offset the Chinese focus on commodities to date

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A further fall in FDI is likely this year, after a drop of over 16% in 2014, as growth and commodity prices stay weak

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Bolivia's plans to boost agricultural output risk generating both political and environmental difficulties

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Falling crop prices, in particular for soya, will largely eliminate the impact of an expected record harvest

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Regional fiscal position is sounder than in the past, but falling revenues may put paid to stimulus measures

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Specialisation and service-oriented manufacturing will lead governments to reconsider support policies

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