Prospects for the Russian economy in 2020

No one is expecting growth above 2% next year despite an ambitious investment plan and spare money to fund it

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Prospects for the Gulf states in 2020

Iran tensions, succession rivalry and low energy prices cloud the horizon

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At best, Johnson’s Brexit deal is likely to deliver a limited, goods-only trade deal with the EU

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The new government will face urgent challenges from recession, debt obligations and rising poverty rates

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Perhaps over-confident about the economy, Erdogan will not change course despite mounting difficulties

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Discontent over living standards will be a test for all countries, but some will address (or contain) this more easily

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Tehran will mix diplomacy and aggression as it aims to wait out US President Donald Trump

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Difficult external conditions continue to constrain growth but the effects are far from uniform

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The Kremlin lacks a 'big idea' and will content itself with securing loyalty and silencing critics

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President Nicolas Maduro will retain power as the domestic opposition fragments and foreign critics' priorities shift

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