Early signs of change may wither in Uzbekistan

Relations with neighbouring states will improve while talk of domestic reform may come to nothing

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Dialogue failure risks new conflicts in Venezuela

Barring unexpected policy shifts, the economic and political crisis will worsen

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With Bolivia facing its worst drought in 25 years, water shortages look set to become a regular, long-term problem

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Groups that broadly backed official policy until recently are distancing themselves from the Kremlin

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A delay in the presidential vote allows Kabila time to reclaim some of his lost support

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A host of political and security risks will confront East Africa next year

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In Central Europe, external headwinds will undermine GDP; South-eastern Europe will be unstable if fast-growing

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The government faces the risk of declining external support and constant pressure at home

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Recovery from recession will be slow and muted, while the 2018 elections will increasingly inform political calculations

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Commission's critical annual report may end in Turkey withdrawing its EU accession bid

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