Myanmar's ethnic troubles will pose security threats

Failure to resolve three ethnicity-based questions poses political and security problems for Myanmar

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Prospects for the Middle East in the third quarter

The Iran nuclear deal will dominate the security agenda, while dealing with cheap oil will be a priority among exporters

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Security-related tensions are rising, within China and in the wider region

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China-US frictions over the South China Sea are intensifying, with South-east Asia in the middle

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The EU can agree on linking economic sanctions against Russia to implementation of the Minsk 2.0 accords on Ukraine

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Talks with Washington and Brussels will take time, and reforms may take even longer

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Lack of resolution of South China Sea disputes will lead to greater allied defence ties

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Beijing's warming ties with Minsk will boost Lukashenka but economic benefits will go more to China than to Belarus

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Underlying political and economic problems portend future migration crises

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The peace accord is a platform to build on, but faces significant governance questions

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