AI will transform finance but also exacerbate risks

The growing use of artificial intelligence in the financial sector will bring both more efficiency and systemic risk

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Better risk pricing can unlock billions in investment

Deeper research into measuring political risk could increase cross-border investment to risky regions

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Modest inflation and growth is making the ECB cautious about policy despite other arguments favouring normalisation

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The EU comes out with an unexpectedly strong statement on the Skripal case but may not have much more to offer

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Calculating political risk is becoming a key research focus, indicating that sovereign spreads are an inadequate measure

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Capital market reform and movement on privatisations in 2018 will signal prospects for economic success

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Central Europe’s currencies are likely to continue to benefit from strong euro-area growth and tighter monetary policy

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Volatility trading is now a source of turbulence as well as a gauge of it

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Postponing a deal will not impede progress on side issues but failure would be a serious setback for Swiss-EU ties

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Despite rising yields, a full-blown bear bond market is unlikely given the plethora of downward pressures on prices

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