Scotland's 'no' will boost UKIP and dampen 'Brexit'

Scotland's 'no' vote will trigger a UK constitutional overhaul

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Arab support for Libyan dialogue will be crucial

It is tempting to blame the NATO intervention for Libya's troubles, but developments since then are more significant

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A power struggle is brewing between the new European Commission, the European Parliament and the European Council

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With nuclear talks unlikely to be extended again, Iran's political and economic outlook hinge on progress

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The government will probably muddle through until the June 2015 elections

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The pro-sovereignty movement's push for a referendum on Catalan statehood risks confrontation with Madrid and unrest

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The coming quarter will see a flurry of diplomatic activity in a region of rising tensions amid falling growth rates

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The rivalry among Gulf states will set the political tone across the Middle East in coming months

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Mounting political risks and geostrategic strain will derail Europe's recovery this year, blunting impact of ECB action

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Non-overt armed aggression will cause NATO to question Article V, leading to possible lack of confidence in the alliance

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