Kyrgyz referendum may be Pyrrhic victory

The president has secured the changes he wanted but they do not advance his aims

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Panama crime fears may help strengthen regional ties

With Panama boasting some of the region’s best security statistics, public perceptions of crime are at odds with reality

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The effects of the Petrobras corruption scandal have engulfed the government and much of the political class

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The government may start to break down energy and telecommunications economic monopolies

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Relations with neighbouring states will improve while talk of domestic reform may come to nothing

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South-east Asian governments want to raise additional tax revenue, as pressure for corporate tax transparency grows

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Anti-reform forces will thrive on electoral apathy

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Political instability could shake financial market confidence and destabilise Italy's banking sector

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Fidel Castro's long-anticipated death is an emotive event but not a game-changer in Cuba

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In Central Europe, external headwinds will undermine GDP; South-eastern Europe will be unstable if fast-growing

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