Taiwan-China tensions will continue to rise

China’s coast guard recently boarded a Taiwanese tourist boat near Kinmen island

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Tehran will prioritise conservative consolidation

Upcoming polls are generating scant enthusiasm, but will nonetheless have long-term significance

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Surging defence expenditure is reshaping the Russian economy

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Bitter territorial contestations between the Ngok Dinka and Twic Dinka threaten to pull in other South Sudanese actors

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The government’s crackdown on crime appears to be having some success, but challenges may mount

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Heightened polarisation following the general election risks setting back efforts to shore up the flailing economy

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The Russian economy continues to display a degree of resilience that has surprised many observers

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Peace talks have so far focused on the warring factions but efforts to include civilians are emerging

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The Andean Community is seeking to set out measures to coordinate regional efforts to tackle crime and insecurity

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There are strong doubts regarding Germany’s capacity to maintain current levels of defence spending after 2026

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