Sudanese opposition will fail to challenge the NCP

Sudan may see a new cabinet and the creation of a prime minister in 2017, but the NCP is likely to stay in control

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Syrian government forces may retake Damascus suburbs

Aleppo is set for a prolonged siege, but President Bashar al-Assad has the advantage near the capital

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A new government in Bangui must navigate a complex security situation to move beyond a protracted crisis

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Levels of violence are below those seen in previous years, but conflict remains a feature in Sudan

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Turkey's involvement in the Syrian civil war has come at the expense of the Kurds

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Shifting local alliances and competition for resources are driving the recent increase in violence across eastern DRC

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The early ceasefire is a goodwill gesture, but it also gives a sense of momentum and progress ahead of the plebiscite

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Russian talk of retribution sounded like a pretext for war, and the threat was deliberate brinkmanship

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Eastern regions will either revert to Ukrainian control or linger on as unrecognised statelets

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Western donors are increasing efforts to rehabilitate areas recaptured from Islamic State group

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