Congo's Kabila will try to revive his political base

A delay in the presidential vote allows Kabila time to reclaim some of his lost support

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Prospects for East Africa in 2017

A host of political and security risks will confront East Africa next year

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Fidel Castro's long-anticipated death is an emotive event but not a game-changer in Cuba

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The government faces the risk of declining external support and constant pressure at home

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Forthcoming presidential and parliamentary contests will bring few policy shifts, whoever is victorious

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Recovery from recession will be slow and muted, while the 2018 elections will increasingly inform political calculations

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Commission's critical annual report may end in Turkey withdrawing its EU accession bid

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Opposition political parties are weighing whether to unite ahead of next year's election, or pursue their own ambitions

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Trump's victory could shake up foreign policy in South-east Asia

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The president appears unlikely to gain the majority needed for a re-election reform regardless of the path he attempts

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