Prospects for the global economy in 2018

Global growth has momentum but tighter monetary policy and worries over trade and redistribution hang over the year

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Weaker Turkish lira will raise pressure for rate hike

The Turkish lira’s 7% decline against the dollar since early September is increasing pressure on the Central Bank

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US Treasury yields have risen since August, fuelled by Fed hawkishness and hopes for US tax cuts

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Impact investing is becoming an important source of development finance but foreign investors still dominate the agenda

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Political risks related to Kenya's contentious election extend well beyond October, clouding the economic outlook

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The US Federal Reserve is committed to tightening policy, despite uncertainty over both weak inflation and personnel

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Political and sectarian fissures are again undermining efforts to put the economy on a sounder basis

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Record foreign holdings of Emerging Europe debt pose the risk of a sudden sell-off from exchange traded funds

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Implementation of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) is proving difficult

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Euro strength makes unwinding policy more important but the ECB will tread carefully as financial markets are vulnerable

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