Prospects for South-east Asia to end-2022

The region faces a series of diplomatic challenges while its countries strive to return to pre-pandemic GDP growth rates

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Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2022

Russian officials are forecasting a contraction of less than 8% this year despite a costly war and costlier sanctions

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Despite close ties with Moscow, Central Asian states, especially the two largest, have not fallen in line on the war

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The war in Ukraine will continue to cast its shadow on neighbouring Central and South-eastern Europe

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A death sentence in Iran and a guilty verdict in Sweden have undermined bilateral relations

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The government is addressing its economic challenges by cutting subsidies, which will increase price pressures

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Oil refining and fertiliser firms have again been hit by EU sanctions progressively degrading Belarus's export capacity

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The EU will ban 90% of oil bought from Russia by end-2022, with some exemptions; members are diversifying their supplies

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Iraq is mediating between Iran and Saudi Arabia following five years of high tensions between the two

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There is currently no prospect of deepening EU-UK security and defence cooperation despite the war in Ukraine

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