Backsliding is likely on Paris climate deal

The Paris agreement sets out an ambitious vision, but relies on precarious national-level commitments

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Resurgent Russia pushes Nordic states towards West

Russian interventionism abroad has encouraged Nordic countries to reassess their defence ties with the West

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Potential presidents may seek to differentiate themselves via 'quick-fix' proposals, given their similar platforms

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Repression and economic assistance from China will help the regime to retain control, despite the oil-linked downturn

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Disgruntled urban constituencies will set the tone for politics and policy ahead of next year's elections

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Guelleh's strategy receives another boost with China's overseas base plan

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Despite the peaceful election process, 2016 will likely prove a rocky year

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As political elites play a waiting game ahead of the end of Kabila's constitutional term, the chance of unrest grows

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Negotiations over justice will make or break the peace process, and with it Santos's presidency

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Despite the short-term blow to stability, the longer-term effects could be positive

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