US and Russian nuclear policy hinges on China

Efforts to reduce nuclear stockpiles will falter, as Washington and Moscow see relations deteriorate

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Divisions will weaken Tunisia's new government

Divisions within Nidaa Tounes may hamper effective policy-making and Tunisia's recovery

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Amid geopolitical competition over the South China Sea, South-east Asian countries' navies will expand

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Syrian rebels can provide effective 'boots on the ground' for the US-led coalition

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With Karimov's daughter Gulnara out of favour, technocrats and 'securocrats' will dominate the succession race

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As Social Democrat premier, Ponta is the status-quo candidate whereas Iohannis would promote market-friendly policies

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Strong performance by reformist parties presage a coalition between the Poroshenko Bloc and Yatsenyuk's People's Front

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Last week's attacks could increase support for airstrikes against the Islamic State

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Tightening Russian hold over Abkhazia will necessitate revising policy of rapprochement with Moscow

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A more aggressive China will spur a greater 'pivot' to Asia, but Washington will be unable fully to reassure allies

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