Greek debt deal may split Syriza leading to elections

Obstacles remain to a successful conclusion, despite recent convergence between Athens and Greece's creditors

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Euro-area risks remain despite Greek breakthrough

Financial markets' insouciance about 'Grexit' risk ignores potential pitfalls

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UK Prime Minister David Cameron is finessing his pre-referendum EU renegotiating position before a June 25-26 summit

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Growing bilateral defence ties are to Tokyo and Manila's benefit, and Beijing's concern

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Failure to resolve three ethnicity-based questions poses political and security problems for Myanmar

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The Iran nuclear deal will dominate the security agenda, while dealing with cheap oil will be a priority among exporters

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Security-related tensions are rising, within China and in the wider region

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China-US frictions over the South China Sea are intensifying, with South-east Asia in the middle

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Talks with Washington and Brussels will take time, and reforms may take even longer

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Lack of resolution of South China Sea disputes will lead to greater allied defence ties

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