Kenya's president faces few viable threats to his rule

Despite fragmentation, the ruling alliance hangs together amid insecurity fears and a weak opposition

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Prospects for Turkey in the fourth quarter

The government will probably muddle through until the June 2015 elections

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Whether Scotland votes 'yes' or 'no' on September 18, the referendum will upend UK politics

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The pro-sovereignty movement's push for a referendum on Catalan statehood risks confrontation with Madrid and unrest

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The government response to the attacks are medium-term strategies that will not dispel a growing feeling of insecurity

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The junta's effort to write the next chapter of 'Thai democracy' may be resisted -- possibly with violence

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The cabinet shake-up and 'revolutionary' proposals do not address economic emergencies

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The government's antagonistic tone towards the opposition, and internal divisions, create important early difficulties

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The ruling party has sidelined its 'radical' wing, while also making moves to consolidate executive power

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Further delays in the electoral calendar will amplify opposition to the administration

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