Ukraine war will amount to attrition and modest gains

Russia's invasion is now focused on a narrower zone of operations and even there it is not making rapid progress

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Ukraine risk will hurt investor perceptions of Poland

Escalation in geopolitical risk is adding to pressure on Poland’s creditworthiness

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In the short term, the Balkans will continue to rely on Russian gas, but a strong push for diversification is under way.

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The Ukraine conflict has raised questions about constraints on presidential action, particularly deployment of troops.

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Various international actors are collecting evidence for investigations and trials of war crimes in Ukraine

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The EU's proposed ban on all oil imports will hit Russia's largest export-earning sector

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The United States will next week host a key meeting with South-east Asian leaders

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China’s investment into the agro-industrial complex of South-east European countries is expected to increase gradually.

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Russians appeared to adapt swiftly and uncomplainingly to wartime, though the evidence base is limited

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Finland and Sweden could join NATO before the end of the year

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