Early signs of change may wither in Uzbekistan

Relations with neighbouring states will improve while talk of domestic reform may come to nothing

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Mass South-east Asian shift towards China is unlikely

There is speculation that the Philippine president's shift towards China might see other states follow

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Conflicts provide fertile ground for criminal organisations, whose interests lie in maintaining instability

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The government has taken an unusually public and assertive posture against the regional security policy of the military

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Russian warships steer clear of disputed waters on exercise in the South China Sea

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The Obama administration is lifting sanctions on Myanmar before the US presidential election

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Recent military tensions between the historical rivals have increased instability risk in the region

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President Rodrigo Duterte is pushing for a more multilateral foreign policy, but could suffer politically

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Thailand and Cambodia set end-2016 as the deadline for an agreement on resource-sharing in the Gulf of Thailand

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Turkey's involvement in the Syrian civil war has come at the expense of the Kurds

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