Weaker AKP would reduce Turkish president's authority

Post-election Turkey faces another term of personal rule by Erdogan or possibly an unstable parliament as in the 1990s

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Cuban 'opening' will be gradual and limited

Talks with Washington and Brussels will take time, and reforms may take even longer

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Positive political rhetoric is in the ascendant, but the governing party still aims for political dominance

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Knowing an overt military assault will invoke NATO's Article 5, Russia will increase Baltic covert interference

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Regional press freedoms are uneven, while changing legal frameworks provide further constraints

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A reconceptualisation of what constitutes a book will create massive disruptions for publishers and internet giants

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The president's political weakness will limit reform prospects at a time when the economy is sagging

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Despite a raft of anti-corruption measures, the obstacles to their success give few grounds for optimism

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Kyiv's increasing tussle with the country's oligarchs risks unleashing new tensions and is a danger to Ukraine

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Although Baku will never abandon the West altogether, self-preservation is dictating shifts in its foreign policy stance

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