Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2016

Recovery should begin later this year but growth will be modest and dependent on oil price fluctuations

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Reforming the French economy will prove difficult

The French recovery remains fragile, with growth unlikely to accelerate much from last year's 1.2%

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Russia values Crimea as a military base and ignores local politics while maintaining subsidies

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Less than one month before the July 2 election, Malcolm Turnbull has staked his premiership on economic stewardship

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If voters see no signs of economic bounceback by year-end, the government could rapidly find itself on the back foot

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Low fuel prices offer breathing space in the short term, but pressure from Gulf and low-cost carriers will not abate

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Easing recessionary conditions in some emerging economies will gradually improve global growth

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New Zealand's fiscal position has strengthened, but its export-driven economy faces downside risks

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As Castro tries to secure the revolution's legacy, international, domestic and internal party struggles all lie ahead

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Demographic change will eventually ease unemployment, but put greater pressure on the social security system

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