Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

Kosovo is the main Balkan security risk, although the conflict in Gaza and refugees fleeing Palestine are extra concerns

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Slovak-Hungarian entente will not affect Western unity

After the likely departure of the PiS-led government in Poland, Fico-led Slovakia is now Hungary’s closest EU ally

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Distracted by its war in Ukraine, Russia is unable to perform the role of regional hegemon in the South Caucasus

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Algeria’s 2024-25 UN Security Council seat promises diplomatic activism that keeps tensions high between the two states

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Kyiv has so far not achieved any of the primary objectives of its counter-offensive

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The war between Israel and Hamas is heightening domestic security concerns and fuelling political divisions

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Moscow is a key source of support for the military government

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South Korea’s spy agency has warned over North Korean attempts to exploit the Hamas-Israel conflict

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Various opponents of the ruling Taliban are trying to assert themselves

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Russia's setbacks in Ukraine have shifted the naval balance of power in favour of the West and Ukraine

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