Prospects for emerging economies to end-2017

Activity is picking up but medium-term risks remain high

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Fed tightening deepens monetary policy rifts worldwide

Easing US prices have called the Fed’s rate rises into question; rising UK prices have prompted calls for BoE rate hikes

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Doha is preparing a response to a hardline negotiating position put forward by Riyadh and its allies

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Erdogan’s grip will tighten as he eliminates opponents and consolidates his powerbase

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Stronger-than-expected first-quarter GDP data suggest Central Europe will grow faster in 2017 than in 2016

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Zloty is spearheading a rally in Central Europe’s currencies

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Market volatility remains remarkably low, but bond yields are falling again, raising the stock of negative yielding debt

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Growth prospects are positive though not without risks, including rate rises and terrorism

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Inflation may come down from its double-figure peak but is likely to remain high for the foreseeable future

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Economic activity has picked up across the world; risks are largely idiosyncratic in the near term but are higher ahead

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