Sri Lanka is likely to face early elections

The next parliamentary poll is due in 2020, but the governing coalition is unstable

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Prospects for North Africa to end-2018

Much of North Africa will be preoccupied with pre-election considerations

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The insurgents' attempts to seize towns have no chance of success but they are in no mood to talk peace

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As Turkey consolidates its rebel supporters in the north, pressure increases on al-Qaida’s successors

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The security threat al-Shabaab poses is rising as the pressure it is under diminishes

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Saudi-Emirati strategy around the vital port of Hodeida is becoming clearer

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The announcement yesterday that Libya will hold elections on December 10 overlooks many issues yet to be addressed

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Debate over AMISOM's future is intensifying but slow progress on the ground suggests a withdrawal is some time away

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The right to lead and govern Libya is deeply contested

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Air strikes are eliminating heroin factories but the tactic will not deplete the Taliban's fighting capacity

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