Global trends will favour Guyana's oil development

ExxonMobil this month announced a further USD10bn investment in a fourth offshore oil project in Guyana

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Impact of war risks EU divisions in several areas

Maintaining unity will become more challenging for the EU as the conflict in Ukraine persists

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The credit crunch that began in the property sector last year has consequences for economic growth and public finances

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Inflationary pressures fuelled by the war in Ukraine will significantly reduce consumer spending over the coming months

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The government narrowly won the recent referendum on its reform package, but economic recovery remains patchy

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Trends including US tightening and the Ukraine invasion fallout are strengthening the dollar and pressuring EM assets

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High demand and many supply interruptions have pushed fertiliser prices to record levels and the disruption will persist

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War in Ukraine is adding to Central Europe’s inflation, exchange rate and current account difficulties

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Prospects for a negotiated settlement between the military government and anti-junta forces appear increasingly remote

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EU states' deficits and debt positions have diverged since 2020, making reconciling national fiscal policies difficult

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