UK trade and investment will be vulnerable to Brexit

However the trade and immigration trade-off is resolved, gravity modelling shows trade and investment will be hit hard

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South Africa’s Zuma could face early exit

The decision to sack Pravin Gordhan has prompted a negative market reaction and opposition from ruling alliance leaders

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Vulnerabilities are appearing in the unexpected stability of financial markets since the US election

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Protectionist voices have grown stronger even as world trade has become less important as a motor of GDP

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As Brexit looms, EU leaders celebrate the union’s 60th anniversary and look to the future

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The end of a decade-long construction surge leaves notable infrastructural deficits as economic growth stalls

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US-led withdrawal of global monetary stimulus raises the chance of political risk trumping economic optimism for markets

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Perilous food insecurity has historical roots exacerbated by conflict and economic mismanagement

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The US president is keen to narrow the gaping goods trade deficit, at a large global cost, with no guarantee of success

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Inflationary pressures are setting the stage for Central-East European rate hikes, in some cases late this year

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