Iran will avoid direct conflict but has other options

Bellicose rhetoric is rising among Iranian military officials while the United States has stepped up Gulf deployments

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Chances of renewed conflict in western Yemen are high

Despite talk of the warring parties’ withdrawal, all sides have been preparing for another coalition-backed offensive

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Gulf states, notably the UAE and Saudi Arabia, have plans to promote indigenous arms manufacturing

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It is far from clear who will make it into a second round, still less who will become president

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Confusion continues to surround US troop withdrawal plans as local and regional actors weigh up their next moves

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Israel recently increased military actions in Syria after a lull since the accidental downing of a Russian plane in 2018

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An Idlib deal could be the price for Turkey’s planned invasion of Kurdish-controlled Syria

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The United States has begun withdrawing troops from Syria, with some being redeployed into neighbouring Iraq

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Trump has unblocked Turkish military invasion of Kurdish-held territory in Syria

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US citizens’ stances on Middle East policy and perceptions of the region are increasingly divided on a partisan basis

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