Interest rates will continue to rise in Brazil

The Central Bank has increased its benchmark rate by 150 basis points, with a warning of a similar rise in December

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Markets are overreacting to US price and rates risks

Market fears of a Fed policy error are overblown but will persist as long as activity slows and inflation remains high

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Looming midterm elections have delayed debate of the draft 2022 budget, which is likely to undergo significant changes

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The country is trying to rebuild its economy following the worst recession since independence

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US shale oil companies are beginning to increase output, albeit more slowly than in the past

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Interlinked deep structural fiscal and monetary problems are hard to address with limited resources under US sanctions

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Inflation is above the central bank’s target and will be elevated for 12-24 months but this is not a long-term concern

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The government has announced the establishment of a special platform to ease the problem of bad debt

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Some of the recent fluctuations in weather conditions point to lasting climate change trends

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The ongoing conflict in northern Ethiopia presents significant risks to the economic picture

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