External interference raises risk of Libya escalation

The new US administration's support for Egypt and the United Arab Emirates may intensify the Libyan conflict

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Somali security strategy will need united approach

Recent attacks by al-Shabaab will not sidetrack long-term plans to withdraw AMISOM troops and boost domestic forces

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Solid growth in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) masks the ongoing dominance of its larger economies

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With removal of President Bashar al-Assad no longer a serious option, factions are scrambling for territory

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The president is balancing internal and external interests to keep his regime stable

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Tanzanian President John Magufuli’s growing role in peace efforts signals a potential reorientation of peace talks

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Despite recent progress in providing food relief and aid, Boko Haram attacks persist and regional insecurity may worsen

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Developments in Egypt will also affect Libya's prospects, while unemployment and corruption will preoccupy the Maghreb

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Numerous armed factions are manoeuvring for control as they push back Islamic State

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The internationally recognised government has made tentative efforts to resume oil output

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