Improved Turkish-US relations may only be temporary

Turkish-US relations may see a brief ‘Trump bump’, particularly if Gulen is extradited

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Middle East socioeconomic trajectories are negative

Arab states face multiple interlinked challenges from population growth, water scarcity, poor education and governance

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New bilateral trade initiatives could be coming if the Trans-Pacific Partnership ultimately fails

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The constitution includes detailed provisions for federalisation and decentralisation, but these may be ignored

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Abolishing the premiership puts administrative control into a single pair of hands, which is unprecedented

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President Abdel Fatah el-Sisi is set to show resolve in the face of multiple problems on the economic and security front

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The authoritarian national government has neutered or co-opted its political and civil society opponents

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The Philippines chairs ASEAN next year and may calm South China Sea disputes

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Malaysia's government will benefit from Chinese trade and investment

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A delay in the presidential vote allows Kabila time to reclaim some of his lost support

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