Turkey's Iraqi-Syrian Turkmen policy will backfire

Using Turkmen minorities in Iraq and Syria for Turkey’s policy goals will leave a legacy of suspicion

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Citizenship for Syrians in Turkey has little support

Erdogan's citizenship offer would not solve Syrian refugees' economic difficulties

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Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania look vulnerable because of similarities with Ukraine, but NATO membership sets them apart

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Russian 'generosity' towards breakaway Georgian provinces of Abkhazia and South Ossetia comes at a price

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Post-election, a retreat from European norms towards a state-centric model will continue, amid hardening nationalism

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Demographic shifts will increasingly favour Democrats at the polls, but longer-term policy changes remain elusive

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Embedded factors are driving Central-East European attitudes to migrants, which is opening a rift with Western Europe

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Knowing an overt military assault will invoke NATO's Article 5, Russia will increase Baltic covert interference

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Poland's armed forces will serve to stabilise relations between Russia and the Baltic states

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With the rise of Citizens on the centre-right mirroring that of Podemos on the left, Spain now has four-way politics

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