Scenarios push economic forecasts into the side

Officials, firms and multilateral institutions are increasingly planning for scenarios rather than growth forecasts

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‘America First’ trade unravels as market risks mount

Cheaper tech stocks and a bond yield curve inversion imply slower rate rises, but steady hikes boost equities, and Trump

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The Czech central bank will remain the region’s most hawkish as inflation persists, at the risk of currency appreciation

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The current global economic cycle has passed its zenith; the question is the extent of the slowdown

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Barring an economic collapse, Erdogan and the AKP will stay firmly in control

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Party leadership contests loom, while Brexit uncertainty will ensure economic growth is slow

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Thailand will be in the spotlight as it chairs ASEAN and potentially holds a general election

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Inexperience and conflicting agendas are likely to undermine policy coherence in the incoming government

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Islamabad should have its long-anticipated IMF bailout, but macroeconomic woes may be less pressing than social tensions

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The US economy is likely to slow steadily in 2019 in the face of global economic headwinds

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