Mutual benefit will keep Turkey and NATO together

Turkey will stick with NATO despite frictions because of self-interest

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New Montenegrin government will build on its support

New government is pro-Western but wants some accommodation with Russia

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In Central Europe, external headwinds will undermine GDP; South-eastern Europe will be unstable if fast-growing

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China and Latin America both have an interest in diversifying trade and investment relations

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Agreement on territorial divison would have paved the way for the last phase of Cyprus settlement talks

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Commission's critical annual report may end in Turkey withdrawing its EU accession bid

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The Ankara authorities seem to be preparing for popular rejection of continuing with Turkey's EU membership bid

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Erdogan's increasing authoritarianism plus growing nationalism may lead to large-scale human rights abuses

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Erdogan's strategy of attack on all fronts is bringing a breach with the West closer

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EU leaders will set the tone in the upcoming negotiations, while the Commission will focus on the technical aspects

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