US brown water navy will be a key asset for Asia pivot

A defence revamp may increase US coastal capacities, but risk escalating conflicts

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Russia's FSB will benefit from instability

Russia's powerful Federal Security Service will benefit from instability and Kremlin's growing paranoia.

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Resumption of war in Donbas, Ukraine's financial woes and Russia's problematic ties with West will dominate outlook

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Negotiators are getting closer to agreement on a national unity government, but its implementation will face obstacles

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The Iran nuclear deal will dominate the security agenda, while dealing with cheap oil will be a priority among exporters

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Jihadi propaganda machines have become increasingly professionalised, but rivalries lie beneath the surface

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Congress must hurdle a series of deadlines, before confronting the annual budget due on October 1

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Donbas 'republics' will be developed into pseudo-states heavily dependent on Russia

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Rising demand for illicit transiting to Europe is changing the people-smuggling business with far reaching consequences

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Knowing an overt military assault will invoke NATO's Article 5, Russia will increase Baltic covert interference

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