Thailand’s democratic deficit will dampen GDP growth

Despite hopes of raising growth to 5-6%, a 20-year strategic plan may struggle to keep it at 3-4%

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Nigerian political dynamics may foil economic rebound

A much-vaunted economic recovery remains fragile in a context of stilted government policy

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The policy-sensitive US two-year yield has surged to 2.5% for the first time in ten years; the ten-year yield hit 3.0%

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The tariffs imposed by the United States and China are sparking debate about the macroeconomic impact of protectionism

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Central Europe will shrug off falls in Russian and Turkish asset prices, being more sensitive to euro-area developments

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Despite record employment, there is still a substantial pool of unused labour, capping the pace of monetary tightening

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The government is touting recent reforms, but structural and political impediments persist

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Despite political will to address economic deficits, reform and reconstruction will be a long and difficult process

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A lack of support for the currency, together with concerns about economic and financial risks, could attract speculators

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The conduct of economic policy could become more erratic in 2018-19

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