African states will intensify ICC reform push

Mass African withdrawal from the International Criminal Court (ICC) is no longer likely, but a push for reform remains

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Sao Tome’s government will further stifle dissent

Attempts to muzzle the judiciary and other critical voices are increasing

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Fragile electoral transitions beckon, while multiple humanitarian and security crises could worsen

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The security threat al-Shabaab poses is rising as the pressure it is under diminishes

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Political tensions, corruption scandals and lagging EU fund absorption may cloud fiscal and economic outlook

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East African governments are developing a new suite of tools to manage dissent within an evolving media environment

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The EU comes out with an unexpectedly strong statement on the Skripal case but may not have much more to offer

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Dramatic changes in the leadership of the security services look set to reinforce old trends while consolidating control

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The UK government is weighing up when to attribute blame for a nerve-agent attack and what form punishment should take

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The shooting of an investigative journalist could bring down the Fico government

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