Russia will look to grow SCO as NATO counterweight

Russia's aims to increase SCO power as a counterweight to NATO will face severe difficulties

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Arab support for Libyan dialogue will be crucial

It is tempting to blame the NATO intervention for Libya's troubles, but developments since then are more significant

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Defeat of the 'Islamic State' group in Iraq is possible, but containment is the most likely scenario in Syria

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New US diplomacy efforts will see Vietnam's Politburo strike a balance between Washington and China

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Negative effects of Ukraine crisis and uncertainty about US monetary policy may outweigh ECB stimulus in coming months

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Mounting political risks and geostrategic strain will derail Europe's recovery this year, blunting impact of ECB action

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Non-overt armed aggression will cause NATO to question Article V, leading to possible lack of confidence in the alliance

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Russia will strengthen security ties with Central Asia to prevent Afghanistan violence spill-over

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The GRU intelligence agency has been instrumental in Donbas and Crimea -- bolstering its power

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Islamic State has threatened to retaliate if Ankara toughens its stance against it

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