Raising its Balkan profile will cost Russia little

Russian soft power is on the rise in South-eastern Europe

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Russian grain exports will rise as farming prospers

Russia is outstripping Canadian and US wheat sales for seasonal and exchange-rate reasons

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Political leaders in Juba may have limited influence to control escalating violence

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NATO leaders sought to underline collective resolve after the destabilising Brexit vote of June 23

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Tourism will get a Russian boost, but an airport attack signals tough times ahead

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Russia is in the stronger position in its burgeoning rapprochement with Turkey

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Recovery should begin later this year but growth will be modest and dependent on oil price fluctuations

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Significant political and economic hurdles could endanger the landmark agreement's success

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Risks linked to commodity prices and China's growth are receding, but the outlook for emerging economies remains cloudy

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Social unrest will increase as president fights to extend power

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