UNITED STATES: Election trends favour Democrats

You must be signed in to read this analysis

Sign in Sign up to our newsletter

In this article

  • Extrapolating outcomes
  • House races
  • Senate campaign
  • Deceptive trends?
  • Sixth-year phenomenon
  • Unpopular presidents
  • Truman in 1952
  • Johnson in 1968
  • Carter in 1980
  • Clinton in 1994
  • Historical parallels
  • Democratic challengers' advantages
  • Retiring Republicans
  • 'Generic' polling gap
  • Voter 'intensity'

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.