US/IRAQ: Lasting security gains will remain elusive

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In this article

  • Ongoing insurgency
  • Going to ground
  • The two insurgencies
  • Shia antagonists
  • Sadr's ceasefire motives
  • Intact Mahdi army
  • Rival factions
  • Sunni insurgents
  • Co-opting tribes
  • Reckoning postponed?
  • Looming problems
  • Displaced insecurity
  • Returning refugees
  • Fracturing national identity
  • Kirkuk tinderbox
  • Government weakness

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.