Brazen electoral fraud may trigger violence in Kenya

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In this article

  • ICC
  • '40 vs 2'
  • Too-close-to-call
  • Scenario 1: low-level violence, limited scale
  • Scenario 2: bottom-up violence, national consequences
  • Scenario 3: top-down protests, quickly contained
  • Scenario 4: state repression, widespread clashes

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.