Risk of Greek euro exit has risen but is still small

Grexit is now more possible, if still unlikely, but post-election uncertainties will prove damaging whatever the result

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In this article

  • Increased probability of Grexit since 2012
  • Grexit scenario
  • Consequences of return to drachma
  • Boost from exports and tourism?
  • Risk factors for euro-area

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This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.